Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 650.696078 729.756112 817.430389 922.375985 1045.245388 1185.356031 1358.376530
2025-02-16 525.509262 628.923184 753.787905 917.693904 1130.254021 1400.966102 1779.089915
2025-02-23 468.748528 585.149653 733.809473 941.632362 1231.371682 1631.676943 2246.616118
2025-03-02 432.421836 558.478048 727.020918 975.397420 1343.934790 1891.313581 2809.447356
2025-03-09 400.024261 531.216944 713.403757 994.108811 1433.661856 2129.891479 3396.210030
2025-03-16 369.255437 501.803455 691.801044 995.846039 1494.753149 2331.584772 3971.381094
2025-03-23 348.009032 483.230262 682.929190 1014.287434 1583.366336 2593.990274 4732.119033
2025-03-30 318.069003 448.678421 645.854414 981.999967 1579.623314 2688.949629 5183.822616
2025-04-06 292.792725 418.865376 612.976323 952.101661 1574.464732 2778.413033 5649.133202
2025-04-13 269.762516 390.621011 579.904821 917.758600 1555.457798 2835.748936 6057.316851
2025-04-20 262.222431 386.018918 584.485920 949.394439 1665.857574 3182.661966 7313.221149
2025-04-27 251.806319 375.881928 578.778906 961.454059 1739.061685 3464.827714 8517.685235
2025-05-04 239.851498 362.605301 567.016888 961.736524 1790.067550 3713.085830 9759.344052
2025-05-11 227.650174 348.090486 551.951682 954.120961 1823.452083 3928.521987 11017.272224
2025-05-18 221.555673 343.398678 553.716416 979.523469 1934.045696 4370.596345 13336.485795
2025-05-25 217.284167 341.467670 560.175306 1015.029116 2074.429242 4936.459324 16564.433690
2025-06-01 211.147791 335.792669 559.157010 1034.725587 2180.555441 5439.088853 19971.286585
2025-06-08 203.226591 326.392341 550.315476 1036.554233 2242.316685 5827.103217 23209.214222
2025-06-15 197.965758 321.434399 549.548098 1055.970553 2353.607350 6415.562201 28197.739603
2025-06-22 187.053406 305.484310 526.175871 1021.979638 2315.191823 6479.942120 30130.466831
2025-06-29 177.203669 290.993693 504.771154 990.518412 2279.317279 6545.962171 32194.908780
2025-07-06 167.519136 276.349954 482.201964 954.397667 2225.372890 6532.871035 33740.306038
2025-07-13 165.605206 276.185467 488.768355 987.670369 2378.291807 7372.620738 43176.949339